REF-1761 · Inoue et al., 2026 · Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research · Paper · PubMed

After a 140-min fatiguing protocol that included 5 × 8 min at 105-110% of critical power, 25 male cross-country (XCO) mountain bikers produced less power at every duration from 5 s to 10 min (Hedges' g 0.32-1.52); the slowest third on a later XCO time trial lost about 14-20% against about 4-8% in the fastest third (except at 15 s); the comparison of faster and slower riders is correlational

Main caveat: The group comparison is 9 against 9, chosen on the outcome with the middle third dropped, which enlarges the contrast.
limited evidenceMeasured on trained to highly trained athletesRead from the abstract only

Inoue and colleagues asked how a fatiguing ride changes the power profile of Olympic cross-country mountain bikers and how power profile and durability combine to shape performance.

Twenty-five male XCO riders completed a power-profile test, covering efforts from 5 s to 10 min, once fresh and once immediately after a 140-min fatiguing protocol that included five 8-min efforts at 105-110% of critical power, in random order 48 h apart.

Seventy-two hours later they rode an individual time trial on an XCO track and were ranked on it; the fastest third (n = 9) and slowest third (n = 9) were compared, leaving out the middle seven. Power at every duration and total work (kJ and kJ/kg) were lower in the fatigued condition (p < 0.05 to < 0.0001; Hedges' g 0.32-1.52).

Both groups lost power, but the low performers lost about 14-20% against about 4-8% in the high performers, a difference with moderate-to-large effect sizes (g 0.93-1.88) at every duration except 15 s. The authors conclude that fatigue impairs the XCO power profile and that better riders show more durability.

Participants

n = 25 male XCO mountain bikers; high performers n = 9, low performers n = 9, middle tertile n = 7 excluded from the group comparison.
Age, training, VO2max, critical power, competition level: not in the abstract.

Protocol

Conditions: fresh and fatigued, randomised order, 48 h apart.
Power-profile test: maximal efforts at durations from 5 s to 10 min (the exact set of durations and their order beyond 5 s, 15 s and 10 min, and whether ridden in the field or on an ergometer, are not in the abstract); total work also reported.
Fatiguing protocol: 140 min immediately before the fatigued test, including 5 repeated 8-min efforts at 105-110% of critical power. Not in the abstract: the intensity and terrain of the remaining time, recoveries between the efforts, total work in kJ, and any carbohydrate or fluid given.
Criterion: individual time trial on an XCO track 72 h later; tertiles by time.

Key Results

OutcomeResult
Power at every duration (5 s-10 min), fatigued vs freshlower, p < 0.05 to < 0.0001; Hedges' g 0.32-1.52 (small to large)
Total work (kJ and kJ/kg), fatigued vs freshlower (same range of p and g as above, given jointly)
Percentage decline, low performers (n = 9)about 14-20%
Percentage decline, high performers (n = 9)about 4-8%
Low vs high performers, declinelarger in low performers, p < 0.05 to < 0.01, g 0.93-1.88; not different at 15 s
Absolute watts, the decline at each duration and the fresh difference between groups are not in the abstract.

Practical Application

After a long ride with efforts just above critical power, every best effort from 5 s to 10 min came down, and the better XCO riders lost less (about 4-8% against 14-20% in the slowest third; 9 vs 9 men, correlational, abstract only). Inference, not tested here: the fatigued profile may say more about race readiness than the fresh one; this study did not compare how well each predicts the time trial.
The 15-s effort was the exception: the groups' declines did not differ there, so short sprint power after fatigue did not separate them in this sample.
Do not quote the percentages as an athlete's own numbers: they come from one protocol (140 min with 5 × 8 min at 105-110% of CP, the rest undescribed), in men of unknown level.
Inference, not tested here: a power-profile durability check for an off-road rider can repeat chosen best efforts at the end of a long, hard ride and compare them with the fresh values; the base's field protocol and its caveats are in SYNTH-32.
Possibly the same cohort, so not a second confirmation: REF-1760 reports intermittent tests in 25 male XCO riders by the same authors after the same 140-min protocol with a time trial 72 h later; until the full texts say otherwise, read the two as one cohort. In the base this is the off-road counterpart of the professional road data in SYNTH-32, and it agrees with them.

Limitations

The group comparison is 9 against 9, chosen on the outcome with the middle third dropped, which enlarges the contrast; it is an association, not a test of a cause.
Men only; level, training and VO2max not in the abstract.
The fatiguing protocol is given only as 140 min including 5 × 8 min at 105-110% of CP; total work, the rest of its content and fuelling are unknown.
Possibly the same riders as REF-1760 (same authors, n, protocol and criterion; there the conditions were 72 h apart, here 48 h); the abstracts do not say whether the data overlap.
Written from the abstract; full text not read, so test reliability, the order of efforts within the profile and the per-duration results are unknown.
How this entry was checked and changed
Why this level

the fresh-vs-fatigued fall comes from a randomised-order within-rider comparison of 25 (a B+ design), but the claim this entry leads with, that faster riders lose less, is an observational comparison of 9 against 9 grouped on the criterion (B), read from the abstract