REF-1754 · Srivali & Cheungpasitporn, 2026 · Sleep Medicine, · Paper · PubMed

Consumer wrist sleep trackers explained only 2.5-16.2% of the variance in how well adults said they slept, agreed less in people with insomnia (39.4% vs 82.4% concordance in good sleepers), and against polysomnography over-read sleep efficiency by 1.75-7.9% and under-read night waking by 7-30 min: a systematic review of 5 observational studies (2006 adults, athletes not reported; GRADE low to moderate) with no pooled estimate

Main caveat: Only five observational studies; the abstract reports ranges across studies, not pooled estimates with intervals.
moderate evidenceMeasured on non-athletes to trained athletesRead from the abstract only

Srivali and Cheungpasitporn asked how well consumer wrist trackers agree with what adults report about their own sleep, measured with validated questionnaires and diaries. They searched three databases to October 2025 and found five observational studies with 2006 participants. Device metrics explained only 2.5-16.2% of the variance in subjective sleep quality.

Total sleep time correlated moderately with same-day diaries (r = 0.367), but devices did not capture Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index scores. Agreement depended on who wore the device: 82.4% concordance in good sleepers against 39.4% in people with insomnia (p = 0.006), and poor in clinical and older groups.

Against polysomnography, sleep efficiency agreed only fairly (ICC 0.478-0.570) and was over-read by 1.75-7.9%, sleep-onset latency barely correlated (r = 0.033) and wake after sleep onset was under-read by 7-30 min. GRADE certainty ranged from low to moderate. The authors conclude that device data should complement, not replace, validated subjective sleep assessment.

Participants

5 observational studies, 2006 adults aged 18 or older.
Included good sleepers, people with insomnia, clinical populations and older adults; how many athletes, if any, is not in the abstract.

Protocol

Search: PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase and Cochrane Library to October 2025, following PRISMA.
Inclusion: consumer wrist-worn actigraphy-based devices compared with validated subjective sleep-quality measures in adults.
Two reviewers screened, extracted and rated quality (QUADAS-2) independently; certainty by GRADE.
Not in the abstract: device brands and models, number of nights, how agreement and concordance were defined, the QUADAS-2 results, and whether any analysis was pooled.

Key Results

ComparisonResult
Device metrics vs subjective sleep quality2.5-16.2% of variance explained
Total sleep time vs same-day diaryr = 0.367
Device vs Pittsburgh Sleep Quality IndexNot captured (no number in the abstract)
Concordance, good sleepers vs insomnia82.4% vs 39.4% (p = 0.006)
Sleep efficiency vs polysomnographyICC 0.478-0.570; over-read by +1.75% to +7.9%
Sleep-onset latency vs polysomnographyr = 0.033
Wake after sleep onset vs polysomnographyUnder-read by 7 to 30 min
Certainty (GRADE)Low to moderate

Practical Application

When a tracker's sleep numbers and the athlete's own sense of the night disagree, do not let the device overrule the athlete's report: across five studies device metrics explained at most about a sixth of the variance in self-reported sleep quality, and agreement was worst in people with insomnia.
This agrees with [SYNTH-91]: sleep metrics are estimated by an algorithm from wrist movement (actigraphy), not measured, so they are context. Against polysomnography the direction matches the base's sleep row: sleep efficiency over-read and night waking under-read (REF-1252, REF-1698).
Inference, not tested here: a device sleep number should open the question with the athlete, never settle it; whether agreement is better or worse in trained athletes than in these samples is unknown (SYNTH-30, SYNTH-07).
Not settled by this review: which devices did better, and whether agreement differs in trained athletes; the abstract gives neither.

Limitations

Only five observational studies; the abstract reports ranges across studies, not pooled estimates with intervals.
Samples include clinical and older groups; athletes and any athlete subgroup are not reported in the abstract.
The QUADAS-2 results, device models, number of nights and the definition of concordance are not in the abstract; certainty was low to moderate.
Written from the abstract and the PubMed record; full text not read, so funding and conflicts could not be checked.
How this entry was checked and changed
Why this level

the abstract reports the GRADE result (certainty low to moderate), which by itself would cap a review at A-, but this is a review of five observational measurement studies with no pooled estimate, the QUADAS-2 findings are not in the abstract, and which device and which study gave each number is not stated