PMEP-5 Muscle Damage/Trauma Model
Decision framework
When this model is the limiter
The muscle damage model is not a meaningful limiter in efforts under ~1-2 h — there, the cardiovascular-anaerobic and neuromuscular models (REF-459) explain fatigue better (the base's reading of the REF-459 framework, not a measured cut-off). It becomes relevant when the event combines long duration with repeated high-force efforts, i.e.:
Durability — holding power late in a long road/gravel race: fresh VO2max and FTP did not predict how much amateurs faded (−10% in 5-min and 20-min power after 1000 kJ at 80% of 20-min power, REF-427; no damage marker was measured there — that muscle damage drives the fade is inference).
Multi-day / stage racing and dense blocks — after unaccustomed eccentric arm work in untrained men, voluntary and evoked strength stayed depressed for 72-96 h while the concentric arm recovered within 24 h (REF-702); fuel stores are assumed to refill faster than that (not from a study). *Inference:* contractile recovery, not glycogen, is what constrains back-to-back quality days after a damaging one.
Terrain with an eccentric component — trail/mountain running, long descents, off-road repeated impacts (REF-549, REF-660). *Inference* (no damage marker was measured): the uphill-and-steady part of a trail effort is probably not where the damage shows — in 23 trained trail runners, 3 h on a treadmill with a +12% uphill time trial every hour cost 6.6% of uphill TT distance while oxygen cost, energy cost and leg stiffness were preserved (REF-548; no descents in the protocol).
Discipline ranking of exposure (base inference; only runners vs cyclists is measured, the order within running and within cycling is not): trail/downhill running > road running > mountain biking > road cycling.
The measured anchor is REF-235: after 3 days of 2.5 h at 70% VO2max, runners showed 133% higher CK, 404% higher myoglobin, 87% higher CRP and 256% higher IL-6 than cyclists, while innate immune measures and 12-week URTI symptoms did not differ — *inference, not tested* (one 3-day block, not progressive volumes): an argument for cycling as the cross-training modality in high-frequency blocks.
Damage in cycling is still real: CK and myoglobin rose after real U23 races (REF-703).
What raises damage
Levers — what to actually do
1. Build damage resistance (weeks-months; the base's judgement is that this is the highest-value lever)
2. Reduce damage during the event
3. Recover after it